Exercise caution for Vista today.
Eastport Yacht Club · Thursday, August 27
Vista, an example boat · 21 ft · 12 kt and 2 ft limits
CAUTION
This would be a 5/10 day on the water for Vista. It will be overcast, breezy with winds 2-12 kt, seas under a foot. There is a 21% chance of rain. Watch that wind reaches your 12 kt line.
Tonight and tomorrow
Morning 11a to 12p
CAUTION- Wind
- 16 kt now · 8 kt, gusts 11 kt
- Seas
- 0.8 ft
- Rain
- None expected
- Storms
- In the forecast
Afternoon 1p to 4p
CAUTION- Wind
- 16 kt now · 10 to 12 kt, gusts 17 kt
- Seas
- 0.9 ft
- Rain
- None expected
- Storms
- In the forecast
Evening 5p to 8p
CAUTION- Wind
- 16 kt now · 9 to 12 kt, gusts 22 kt
- Seas
- 0.8 ft
- Rain
- None expected
- Storms
- In the forecast
Overnight 9p to 2a
CAUTION- Wind
- 16 kt now · 2 to 9 kt, gusts 20 kt
- Seas
- 0.8 ft
- Rain
- 23%
- Storms
- In the forecast
How close to Vista's limits
5/10, wind reaches your 12 kt line
Why
Wind is 16 kt (gusts 18 kt), and that is close to Vista's line. Chance of storms. There is a chance of rain.
On the water now
Wind 16 kt from S, gusting 18 · Seas 1.3 ft · Air 77°F · Water 80°
Cloudy
Annapolis, MD · 1.6 nm away · most recent reading 37 min ago
Annapolis, United States Naval Academy, 1.1 nm away, reported mostly clear, visibility 8.7 nm or better within the hour.
Conditions at a glance
- Wind
- 16 kt now · 2 to 12 kt, gusts 22 ktsustained, vs Vista's 12 kt
Gusts 22 kt, 10 over Vista's line
- Seas
- 0.9 ftvs Vista's 2 ft
Flat, water 80°
- Rain
- 23%vs Vista's 50%
A chance of it
- Storms
- In the forecast
The forecaster names thunderstorms without an hour, so treat the whole day as open to them
- Tide
- Low 11:56 am EDT, 0.7 ft · High 5:33 pm, 1.3 ft
- Air temp
- 74° to 88°
Hot through the afternoon
- Daylight
- 6:29 am to 7:44 pm
- Warnings
- None in force
None issued, which is not the same as no risk
When
The sun sets at 7:44 pm EDT. Plan to be back in Eastport Yacht Club by then.
The hours ahead
Against Vista's own limits.
Four forecast models were read for these hours and their sustained wind splits across Vista's 12 kt limit from 1p to 8p EDT, furthest apart at 6p: 4 kt on the quietest of them and 15 on the windiest. Gusts are not compared. Which of those turns up changes the call, so look again before you take the lines off.
The week ahead
Tomorrow is the first of 4 days at 8/10, against today's 5/10. Tuesday's wind read 16 kt in yesterday's forecast. It now reads 10.
Much like yesterday: 12 kt against 11 kt.
Vista's own water
Commercial Traffic
Commercial traffic converges on the Baltimore channel; keep out of the shipping lane.
Naval Academy launches, water taxis and a crowded mooring field share this harbor; on a race afternoon the sailing fleet has right of way and no engine.
Everything funnels through the two ship spans here, commercial traffic included: pick your span early and hold it rather than crossing under a bridge to change your mind.
The tide today
Current
Ebb building to about 0.7 kt by 11:08 am at Greenbury Point, then slack at 2:22 pm, then flood peaking near 0.5 kt at 5:01 pm, then slack at 8:08 pm.
What the pattern is doing
A cold front will approach from the northwest this afternoon and eventually pass to the southeast by early Saturday. High pressure will build north of the area this weekend. There is the potential for some gusty thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening today, and again on Friday, which may necessitate Special Marine Warnings.
Vista's other spots
Bay Bridge Marina
Wind 16 kt (gusts 18 kt)
Harbor Island Marina
Visibility Not available
Scored against Vista's limits
- Wind (sustained)
- 12 kt
- Seas
- 2 ft
- Rain
- 50%
- Storms
- within 12 hours
- In port by
- not set
- After dark
- at the dock by dark
How we got to this call
- Wind
- 16 kt (gusts 18 kt)
- Waves
- 1.3 ft
- Visibility
- Not available
- Lightning
- Chance of storms
- Precipitation
- Rain/showers